What awaits CSTO and Russia in near future? Chinese view

Regional drama

The question of the importance of such an organization as the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) in the world does not cause any disputes. At the same time, the question of the future of another Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) organization remains open, despite its recent increased activity – the January events in Kazakhstan are an example of this.

There is no future for the CSTO, writes the Chinese Global Times.

According to the results of the SCO Summit in Samarkand, in the current conditions in the world, China is actually becoming the main player in Central Asia instead of Russia, which, as Russian President Vladimir Putin admitted, has “concerns and questions” for Russia regarding the war against Ukraine. And Moscow loses in it, the newspaper writes.

The offensive of the Ukrainian army in the Kharkiv direction greatly undermined the authority of Putin and the Chinese confidence in the need to help Russia.

Thus, Beijing began to treat Moscow with contempt. At the strategic level, he will continue to talk about partnership with Russia, but will not help provide weapons or circumvent Western sanctions. Beijing will continue to benefit from the low prices for Russian oil and gas that Moscow offers to its buyers from Asia after cutting off significant energy supplies to Europe.

Russia wanted to consider itself a global political player, and now it is becoming only a raw material appendage of China. It was very unpleasant for Putin when the leaders of the countries present at the summit were deliberately late for a meeting with him.

Even the host country, Uzbekistan, demonstrated its attitude towards the Russian Federation, when not the president, but the prime minister came out to meet Putin at the Samarkand airport. President of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mirziyoyev met President Xi Jinping the day before.

The renewed military conflicts between Azerbaijan and Armenia, as well as Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan, have added a headache to the president of the guarantor country in the CSTO, which raises the question of the expediency of an organization where some of its members are fighting among themselves, while others do not receive the necessary military support.

It is precisely because of the senselessness of communicating with the leaders of the CSTO allied countries (primarily Russia), when hostilities are taking place on Armenian territory, that Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan was absent from the summit.

The Last Frontier

Speaker of the National Assembly of Armenia Alen Simonyan, in turn, said that Yerevan was dissatisfied with the CSTO’s reaction to the escalation of the military conflict, and also that the United States, not Russia, played a decisive role in the ceasefire during the recent aggravation on the Armenian-Azerbaijani border.

Putin came to the summit already a loser, but he also left humiliated after the summit.

He planned to create a multipolar world, in which Russia is one of the poles, but it turned out that it is already on the margins, including among the countries of Asia. Putin failed to achieve any significant preferences for Russia. Even vice versa. At the summit site, they agreed to create a transport corridor from China to Europe through Central and Minor Asia (Turkey) bypassing Russia. In the SCO, Russia is assigned a secondary role, which marks the beginning of the end of the CSTO and the emerging trend of China’s leadership in Central Asia. A similar fate awaits Russia in the BRICS, writes the Global Times.

After a sharp escalation on the border of Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan during the Samarkand Summit, it became clear that Moscow was not in a position to positively influence both sides of the conflict, although Putin held telephone talks with the presidents of Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan. At this time, a truce was established, and the public of Kyrgyzstan openly expressed indignation at the apparent support of the Russian press for the politics of Tajikistan. Thus, in Kyrgyzstan, the attraction to Moscow has clearly decreased.

Sept. 19, 2022